Monday, March 17, 2014


CRISIS IN UKRAINE: RULE OF LAW OR DOUBLE STANDARDS

The present crisis in Ukraine centers on the legality of the referendum on 16 March 2014 called by Crimea’s Parliament to decide whether its voters wish to join the Russian Federation or remain in Ukraine with broader powers. This issue has important implications for the Philippines and other countries like Spain, facing threats of secession.

The Parliament of Crimea, which is an autonomous Republic in Ukraine, had earlier voted at the beginning of March to become part of the Russian Federation.  Thereafter, the Head of Parliament, Vladimir Konstantinov, sent a request to President Vladimir Putin for Crimea to join the Russian Federation.  The referendum was designed to legitimize the request. 

Geography of Ukraine and Crimea

For an understanding of the complexity of this crisis, one has to look at the map and consider history.  Crimea was a part of Russia since the eighteenth century when Catherine the Great annexed Crimea in 1783.   Crimea remained a part of Russia until 1954 when Nikita Kruschchev transferred Crimea to Ukraine as a gift to celebrate the 300th anniversary of a Russian agreement with the Cossacks.  Crimea is populated mainly by Russian speakers and is the home of four Russian fleets in the Black Sea, from which Russia projects its power in the Mediterranean.

Ukraine was also a part of Russia, and has a complex history and a polyglot composition.  Its Western part was added to the Ukraine Socialist Republic in 1939 when Hitler and Stalin divided Poland.  The Western regions are largely catholic and Ukrainian speaking while the Eastern regions are mainly Orthodox Russian and Russian speaking.  Kiev was the capital of the Kievan-Rus before the rise of Moscow.

Because of Ukraine’s history and geography, former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger has advocated that the crisis in Ukraine should not be treated as a part of the East West confrontation but his advice is apparently not being followed.

West’s Position

The interim government of Ukraine has accused Russia of invading Crimea, and the West has called upon Russia to respect Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity.

Ukrainian interim Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk has called the referendum an “illegitimate decision.”  US President Barack Obama has said that “Any discussion about the future of Ukraine must include the legitimate government of Ukraine.”

The G7 has issued a Statement that the referendum would have no legal effect and that the process is flawed because of its rushed nature and the deployment of Russian troops in the Crimea.  The president of the European Council and the president of the European Commission joined in that Statement.  The G 7’s reasoning is evidently intended to distinguish the Crimean case from the case of Kosovo, when the USA and a number of EU countries first decided to recognize the independence of Kosovo against the objection of Serbia, although Kosovo was a province of Serbia.  Russia and its allies objected to this act of secession.  The Philippines and Spain have not recognized Kosovo’s independence.

Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) Chairman Didier Burkhalter also issued a Statement that the referendum, in its current form, contradicts Ukraine’s constitution and must be considered illegal. The OSCE is Europe’s security and democracy watchdog.  As Ukraine’s constitution only permits national referendums, Burkhalter ruled out an OSCE observation of the referendum.

The West has called upon Russia to enter into a dialogue with Ukraine.

Russia’s Position

Russia has refused to dialogue with Ukraine, stating that it cannot accept the coup in Kiev as a “fait accompli” but there have been talks between Russia and the United States at the highest levels whereby both defend their respective positions on the basis of international law.  

Russia alleges that the interim government of Ukraine has come to power through a coup by the “Right Sectors, a grouping of several far-right and nationalist factions, who were among the most radical and confrontational of the demonstrators in Kiev and who organized the self-defense brigades for the protest camp.”  Russia accuses the interim authorities of illegally ousting the legally elected president of Ukraine, Viktor Yanukovych, whom Russia still recognizes as the legitimate president, although he may no longer have a political future.  

Russia also sees the West as having supported the “coup”.  Previously, Russia had protested the NATO Statement against the use of force in dispersing demonstrations in Kiev and accused NATO of interfering in Ukraine’s internal affairs.  A prominent Russian lawmaker tweeted, pointing out the inconsistencies between NATO’s reaction to the crackdown on protestors in Kiev and similar US violence in beating anti-NATO protestors in Chicago

The subsequent decision of Ukraine’s Rada to modify Ukraine’s Language Law and remove Russian as an official language gave Russia and Ukraine’s Russian- speaking population cause for alarm.  The Russian Foreign Ministry subsequently claimed that the Eastern regions of Ukraine were now ruled by lawlessness as a result of the actions of fighters of the so-called “Right Sectors” with the full connivance of the interim government.   Russia also invoked its right to protect Russian nationals. Russia must have been mindful of previous actions taken by the United States to protect American citizens, particularly the US invasion of Grenada in 1984 and the US intervention in Panama in December 1989.  In both these cases, “the level of threat against US citizens was such as to raise serious questions concerning the satisfaction of the requirement of proportionality”, according to British Author and Professor of International Law Malcolm N. Shaw.   

As for the presence of Russian troops in Crimea, Russia stated that they were there in accordance with treaty agreements.  Russia denied that the military forces surrounding Simferopol Airport and confronting Ukraine’s soldiers in their military bases in Crimea were Russian forces. They were, according to Russia’s explanation, self-defense forces of Crimea.  Kissinger saw Russia’s denial as positive rather than negative, as it would make a diplomatic solution easier to reach since Putin, Kissinger noted, would not need to issue an Order recalling the troops.

As for the decisions taken by Crimea’s Parliament, Russia stated that: “The steps taken by the legitimate leadership of Crimea are based on the norms of international law and aim to ensure the legitimate interests of the population of the peninsula.”

Diplomatic Solution

Crimea’s Parliament has reportedly announced that, if the referendum favored Crimea’s joining the Russian Federation, the Parliament would immediately announce Crimea’s independence.  Putin then would not be under time pressure to decide on Crimea’s request to join the Russian Federation.

In the meantime, negotiations could continue for a diplomatic solution.  Russia had previously announced that it had no intention to annex Eastern Ukraine or Crimea. Russia’s most important objective evidently is to secure Sevastopol as the permanent home for Russia’s Navy in the Black Sea.  One of the possible options suggested is for Crimea, as part of its broader autonomous powers within Ukraine, to grant Russia a permanent home for the Russian Navy in the Crimea similar to the status of the US base of Guantanamo in Cuba.   

Another of Russia’s priority objective is to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO and losing Ukraine as a buffer.  This has been Russia’s consistent policy since the dissolution of the Soviet Union, and is consistent with the Budapest Agreement of 1994 whereby the US, the UK and Russia guaranteed Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity in exchange for Ukraine’s surrender of its nuclear weapons.  Kissinger’s suggestion is for Ukraine to follow the example of Finland, which is fiercely independent and cooperates with Europe in most fields but avoids institutional hostility to Russia.  Thus, Ukraine, like Finland, should be able to join an economic and political association like the EU but not a military alliance like NATO; or Ukraine could be like Austria, a neutral country, which is also a member of the EU but not of NATO.  

For the Philippines, the important result from this crisis is that Europe and the US have taken the position that the referendum is illegal because it violates Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity.  The basis for this assertion is Ukraine’s constitution which mandates that the issue of secession should be voted upon by all the voters in Ukraine. This principle supports our national interest.